I just finished calculating as many of the big producers in the NBA as I could to figure out who is the NBA’s Most Valuable Player so far. By a landslide, it is Kevin Love of the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Of course, as always, I used my derivation of the Win Score metric, which I call Marginal Win Score. Here, however, I use my new “charting” system which people seem to like more because it shows all the work. The chart features each player’s Win Score, each player’s Opponent Win Score, and then the corresponding Marginal Win Score, which is calculated as follows (MWS=WS-OppWS/2). (The player’s Win Score stats come from basketball-reference.com; the Opponent’s Win Score stats come from the observations provided by 82games.com)
Once I have the player’s MWS, then I can calculate the player’s Winning Percentage (W%= MWS /48 * 1.621 + 0.1 /48 * 19780 /82), and based on each player’s number of “Player Games” (Player Games=Player’s Minutes / (Total Team Minutes /#games played), then I can tell you how many wins and losses I attribute to each player (W__L: Player Games * W%).
I then rank each player’s “value” based on the number of wins the player has produced “greater than .500%” (W>0.5%= Wins – Losses / 2).
Below is my Excel Spreadsheet rankings. As you can see, Fu Manchu Stan Love’s Kid is having a season in the sun, a season I can only refer to as ”Bill Russellesque“. I say that because I have never encountered a “modern” (post- ABA merger) player whose MWS was ever better than the MWS posted this season by Kevin Love. It is even better than the rate of win productivity posted by Bill Walton in 1978, just before he famously broke his foot. As Jalen Rose said a few weeks ago on ESPN, “Kevin Love is puttin up THROWBACK numbers.” Indeed he is.
You will notice also that two rookies made the chart: Blake Griffin and Landry Fields. Each is, at the moment, in a deadheat for Rookie of the Year, with each having produced +3.1 wins above .500% so far.