Best and Worst Scorers in the NBA East

I went through the entire list of players who have played at least 150 minutes for an NBA Eastern Conference team to find out what percentage could produce at least one point per “scoring attempt” used, with scoring attempt defined as field goal attempts plus 1/2 free throw attempts.  Basically I wanted to find out just how hard it was to be a positive point producer. 

Its not that hard.  Remember, though, I wasn’t counting turnovers.  I was just counting the average number of points produced by each player per scoring attempt.  It turns out (and I list my full results by team at the bottom of this post) that there were 204 East Conference players who qualified by minutes, and of those a whopping 140 players are producing at least one point per scoring attempt (which I will refer to as “plus points”).  That is 69% plus point scorers, an overwhelming majority.  So it isn’t as hard to score as the Bucks make it seem. 

The per game “Plus Point” average per player was +0.40 points.  The per 48 minute “Plus Point” average per player was +0.55. 

To illustrate how bad the Milwaukee Bucks are at scoring the ball, the Bucks have only one player who’s “Plus Point” per game average is above +0.40, and that’s Corey Maggette.  They have only three who have an above average per minute “Plus Point” average.  Both numbers are by far the worst in the East.

Here are the Best “Plus Point” Scorers per Game
1. Dwight Howard…(+3.79)
2. Paul Pierce…(+3.17)
3. Ray Allen…(+3.17)
4. LB James…(+3.06)
5. Dwyane Wade…(+2.89)
6. Amare Stoudamire…(+2.69)
7. Al Horford…(+2.47)
8. Danillo Gallinari…(+2.29)
9. Carlos Boozer…(+2.02)
10. Shaq O’Neal…(+2.01)

Some of those guys are guys you would never have expected to show up on such a list.  Shaq O’Neal?  Al Horford?  Danillo Gallinari?  None of those players are known to have dynamic scoring skills, but nevertheless, they use their limited means to produce positive points per game for their teams.  As Bo Ryan says, in the game of basketball, if the ball goes in the net, it counts.  So whatever gets it done.  (The list doesn’t really change dramatically if we switch to “per 48″ except Shaq rises dramatically.)

Worst per game Plus Point Scorers
1. Josh Howard…(-1.92)
2. Matt Carroll…(-1.81)
3. Gil Arenas (Orl)…(-1.42)
4. Terrance Williams…(-1.09)
5. Jawad Williams…(-1.07)
6. Troy Murphy…(-1.05)
7. Mo Williams…(-1.01)
8. Brandon Jennings…(-0.95)
9. Anthony Randolph…(-0.94)
10. TJ Ford…(-0.82)

So those are the worst players when it comes to putting the ball in the net on a per game basis.  As you can see, the worst averages per game are far lower than the best, but that’s because generally the worst scorers get yanked.  Unlike the above list, the list of worst scorers changes dramatically when shown on a “per 48″ basis.  Then Anthony Randolph, the former Knick, soars to the top.  He only played a little, though.  The Bucks rookie Larry Sanders also joins the list, which won’t surprise Bucks fans.  Way up on the list would also be rookie Avery Bradley of the Boston Celtics.  I think he is in the D-League now, but he couldn’t find the hoop with a compass.

Here is the entire Eastern Conference, listed by division and by team.

 

  GAME 48MIN
BOSTON    
Pierce 3.17 4.38
Rallen 3.17 4.22
Rondo 0.41 0.52
Garnett 1.61 2.43
Davis -0.12 -0.19
Robinson 0.12 0.34
Shaq 2.01 4.63
Daniels 0.22 0.56
Erden 0.69 2.35
Wafer  -0.08 -0.42
Harangody -0.43 -2.39
JO’Neal -0.03 -0.08
West  0.31 0.84
Bradley -0.44 -5.37
Perkins 0.66 1.22
NYK    
Stoudamire 2.69 3.51
Felton 0.59 0.74
Chandler 1.31 1.83
Gallinari 2.29 3.16
Fields 1.71 2.51
Douglas 0.21 0.46
Swiliams 0.71 1.85
Turiaf 0.91 2.36
Bwalker 0.77 2.96
Mozgov -0.23 -0.84
Anthony 0.66 0.83
Randolph -0.94 -6.04
PHILA    
Holiday 0.56 0.77
Brand  1.61 2.22
Iguodala 0.59 0.77
Young 1.59 2.95
Turner  -0.51 -0.99
Lwilliams 0.71 1.43
Meeks 1.29 2.49
Hawes -0.12 -0.29
Nocioni 0.37 0.95
Speights 0.39 1.59
Battie -0.06 -0.31
NJERS    
Lopez 1.03 1.44
Outlaw -0.74 -1.19
Harris 0.85 1.28
Humphries 0.76 1.44
Morrow  1.83 2.77
Farmar 0.01 0.03
Favors 0.34 0.83
Vujacic 0.18 0.32
Graham -0.47 -1.36
Petro -0.38 -1.68
Qross -0.23 -1.11
Murphy -1.05 -3.16
Uzoh -0.17 -0.89
Djames -0.79 -2.79
Twilliams -1.09 -2.56
TORONTO    
DeRozan 0.59 0.84
Bargnani 1.15 1.53
Calderon 0.24 0.38
AmJohnson 1.98 3.64
Weems  -0.31 -0.57
Kleiza -0.05 -0.09
Barbosa 0.59 1.16
Edavis 1.01 2.15
Bayless 0.26 0.62
Wright 0.07 0.22
Evans -0.79 -1.41
Jack -0.38 -0.69
Anderson 0.51 1.76
MILW    
Maggette 1.21 2.55
Salmons  -0.32 -0.45
Bogut  -0.73 -0.98
Jennings -0.95 -1.37
Ilyasova 0.07 0.13
Dooling -0.07 -0.14
Boykins 0.32 0.94
Moute 0.12 0.23
Delfino -0.38 -0.55
Droberts 0.23 0.44
Gooden -0.28 -0.57
Sanders -0.59 -2.07
Brockman 0.27 1.41
CHICAGO    
Deng 1.28 1.57
Rose 1.48 1.87
Brewer  0.15 0.32
Boozer 2.02 2.99
Gibson -0.61 -1.28
Korver 0.98 2.28
Bogans 0.21 0.57
Noah 1.22 1.63
Kthomas 0.29 0.61
Watson -0.61 -2.25
Asik 0.14 0.58
INDIANA    
Granger  1.84 2.45
Collison 0.39 0.63
Hibbert -0.35 -0.61
Dunleavy 1.55 2.61
Rush 0.83 1.44
McRoberts 1.18 2.48
Hansborough 0.11 0.29
Posey -0.04 -0.12
Ford -0.82 -2.04
George 0.59 1.51
Foster -0.21 -0.57
Sjones -0.19 -0.69
Price  -0.33 -1.06
DahJones 0.56 2.42
DET    
Prince  0.13 0.19
Gordon  0.93 1.59
Stuckey 0.68 1.08
Monroe 0.64 1.19
McGrady 0.03 0.07
Villanueva 0.95 1.94
BeWallace -0.41 -0.82
Daye 0.31 0.75
Bynum 0.38 0.99
Hamilton 0.05 0.11
Maxiell -0.21 -0.59
Wilcox 0.25 0.71
Summers -0.23 -1.24
CLEV    
Jamison 0.31 0.44
Sessions 1.08 1.98
Hickson -0.56 -1.01
Parker 0.31 0.48
Gibson 0.66 1.09
Mwilliams -1.01 -1.62
Varejeo 0.84 1.25
Moon -0.12 -0.31
MaHarris 0.19 0.49
Hollins 0.77 2.72
Evenga -0.69 -1.33
Graham 0.44 1.11
JaWilliams -1.07 -3.43
Gee 0.11 0.27
Samuels 0.01 0.03
Powe -0.14 -0.51
MIAMI    
LeJames 3.06 3.84
Wade 2.89 3.73
Bosh 1.53 2.04
Chalmers 0.63 1.33
JaJones 1.11 2.72
Anthony 0.18 0.42
Ilgauskas 0.35 0.98
House 0.69 1.84
Dampier 0.27 0.85
Miller 0.56 1.38
Howard -0.26 -1.19
Haslem 0.61 1.11
ORL    
DwHoward 3.69 4.79
Nelson 0.78 1.26
Redick 1.59 2.95
Bass 1.01 1.96
Turkoglu 0.82 1.16
Richardson 0.91 1.29
Anderson 1.41 3.24
RaLewis 0.44 0.65
Arenas -1.42 -3.19
QuRichard -0.27 -0.75
Carter 1.36 2.17
Duhon -0.14 -0.45
Pietrus 0.47 1.03
Gortat 0.39 1.21
Clark -0.55 -2.15
JaWilliams -0.31 -1.41
ATL    
JshSmith 1.03 1.41
Horford 2.47 3.41
JoJohnson 0.76 1.01
Bibby 1.11 1.77
JaCrawford 1.15 1.79
MaWilliams 0.88 1.42
Evans -0.11 -0.28
Pachulia 0.05 0.18
Teague 0.01 0.03
Powell 0.02 0.18
Collins 0.15 0.59
Wilkins 0.15 0.61
JdCrawford -0.81 -3.91
CHAR    
StJackson 0.72 0.93
Diaw 1.09 1.55
Augustin 1.39 2.02
GeWallace 0.52 0.64
KwBrown 0.34 0.71
Livingston 0.24 0.67
Henderson -0.15 -0.38
Mohammed 0.17 0.51
TyThomas 0.64 1.43
Dbrown 0.31 1.28
McGuire -0.53 -1.93
Najera -0.37 -1.32
Carroll -1.81 -1.98
Diop -0.28 -1.06
WASH    
Young 1.41 2.14
Blatche -0.72 -0.99
Wall -0.61 -0.79
Hinrich 0.85 1.33
McGee 0.76 1.38
Thornton 0.26 0.58
RaLewis 1.03 1.47
Arenas 0.01 0.03
Booker 0.51 1.79
Yi -0.33 -0.99
CaMartin 0.21 1.02
Armstrong 0.03 0.18
JosHoward -1.92 -3.83
Seraphin -0.14 -0.75
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2 Responses to “Best and Worst Scorers in the NBA East”

  1. Greyberger Says:

    Great post. But you should use a different coefficient than .50. When you factor all the ‘extra’ free throws from technicals, flagrants, and-ones and three-point attempts, only one out of 2.27 free throws most years end in a defensive rebounding opportunity.

    For this reason .44 is usually used to estimate the possession cost of FGA relative to FTA. TS% uses the .44 coefficient and (FGA + FTA*.44) is sometimes called True Shooting Attempts.

  2. Blake Says:

    I really like this stat, you should implement it more. How exactly do you calculate it? Do you use Hoopdata’s stats?

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