Did Michael Redd contribute to his own fate?

I’m a little dumbfounded I’ve only seen one explanation for why the Milwaukee Bucks most expensive asset, Michael Redd, suffered the same injury to the same knee when that is not supposed to happen.  The explanation I saw, Will Carroll’s “lightning twice“, was not satisfactory.   I tend not to believe in freak occurrences.

But I believe another part of Carroll’s answer contains the truth.   His qualification.  He qualified his answer with “We’ll assume he rehabbed right”.  I’m not willing to make that assumption. In fact all signs point to the fact that he did not rehab right.

“A lot of individuals would say that the rehab’s half the battle. Because if you don’t do adequate rehab, you have weaker muscles and your range of motion isn’t where it should be, that it puts you at higher risk of reinjuring your ACL. I’ve seen several athletes where they’vetorn their ACL and then re-torn it and had that surgery all over again. And usually when you look at muscular structure, it’s because they never really got the full strength back that they should have had from the initial surgery. So the rehab’s a really important thing.”

Dr. Russell TorontoPreventing  ACL injuries

Evidence Michael Redd not rehab right:

1. I and many others noted he looked heavier than his normal playing weight;

2. He suffered a “lack of strength” type injury early on when he pulled his patellar tendon;

3. Redd was off his career norms in every major activity that involved the legs… even free throw shooting (from a consistent 80% down to 70%) .  Free throw shooting should be like riding a bike.  It should come back immediately.  Unless their is a mechanical issue.

4. According to HoopData, Redd was getting 9.9% of his attempts blocked whereas last season he only got 2.7% blocked. No lift?

5. Redd’s shooting accuracy was down across the board, from every spot on the court.  Mechanical?

But the best piece of evidence is this.  The only other explanation is the “lightning” one.   If you accept that you also have to account for all of the circumstantial evidence above then you have to believe that not only did the lightning strike him twice, it just so happened to hit him a second time within months after he came back from his original injury.  In other words, lightning struck for a second time at precisely the time you would most likely expect a “didn’t rehab properly” reinjury to occur.  IF there is one logical explanation and one “freak” explanation, which do you think carries more credibility?


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4 Responses to “Did Michael Redd contribute to his own fate?”

  1. Houston Says:

    Is this injury Michael Redd’s fault? Maybe. But I think we need to look into this further. In his interviews after successful games, Mr. Redd constantly reminds us to give God all the glory. Shouldn’t we then blame God for this injury?
    Let’s face it – God hates the Bucks. Why? I am guessing it had something to do with Lew Alcindor changing his name.

    • tywill33 Says:

      I always think of that! I always think — but never ever write because I would get lambasted — but I always think “why did God turn on you”?

      That’s kind of why I don’t like when they say religious stuff because it implies unsuccessful people are unsuccessful because God wants them to be.

  2. Margarita Suarez Says:

    This post is really the freshest on this important topic. I absolutely feel the same way with your viewpoints and will hungrily look forward to your next updates. Just saying thanks will not just be adequate, for the extraordinary lucidity in your writing. I will immediately grab your rss feed to stay up to date of any updates. Great work and best of luck in your life!

    • tywill33 Says:

      That’s probably the nicest comment I’ve ever gotten. Thank you!

      On the post itself, I was looking for someone else with more expertise on the topic to write something. It was just WAY, WAY too coincidental that Redd blew out the same ligament twice, and did so in such a short period of time.

      But no expert ever commented. It was as if either no one cared, or everyone simply bought the unbelievable “it was just really bad luck” explanation that the team was selling.

      So, if for no other reason than my own curiousity (I had always heard it was nearly impossible to bust a surgically repaired ligament) I looked into the topic. It turned out there was a lot more to the situation.

      Thanks Margarita!

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