When the Hawks meet the Bucks in the playoffs, the Bucks defense versus the Hawks shot creation will decide the issue (along with rebounding).
In their meetings the Bucks have a Team Win Score of 42.70, about what they put up for the season. But they allowed the Hawks a Team Win Score of 47.05, much higher than the Bucks overall Opponent average of 40.17.
It appears the Hawks are beating the Bucks with one-on-one shot creation. That’s not normally an effective technique, but it has been against the Bucks.
The historical NBA average of assists to made baskets is 56.0%. It stays around that number year after year.
Against the Bucks, the Hawks have an eFG of 52.3%, above average, but only 44.5% of their makes are assisted, well below the historical average. And for the season, the Hawks team average of assists to made baskets is right on the historical average, 56.1%. So the Bucks are playing strong defense, the Hawks are simply beating them one-on-one.
I’m going to go through the transcript of every Buck-Hawk game this season to provide reverse stats for every single player.