Courtside Analyst NBA Power Index (12-2-10)

I’ve finally finished the latest NBA Power Index using Point Value over Average.  Remember, Point Value over Average judges each team according to how many points they score and allow against a given opponent compared to the average number of points the rest of the NBA scores and allows against the same schedule of opponents in the given number of possessions.

Its a bitch to calculate for a math hack like me, so enjoy it.  I think its very revealing.  The Boston Celtics, a team we all had given up for dead, have risen to within percentage points of the top of the Power Index.  They are off to a terrific start.  Watch out for the Dallas Mavericks as well.  They are numero uno this week. 

Two other teams on the come are the Utah Jazz and the Indiana Pacers.  The Pacers are playing superb defense.

Your Milwaukee Bucks, however, are falling like a rock.  They are clinging by a nail to the best defense in basketball, but they have a deathgrip on the worst offense — by far — in basketball.  Just brutal.

Miami is a weird team.  I call them the “Mike Tyson of the NBA”.  If the given opponent is a stiff, Miami just blasts them out of the ring.   But any team that puts up any kind of push-back resistance has so far been able to easily prevail over the Heat. 

The Lakers had a rough week as well.  They need to tighten up their defense.  They are really missing the big man, Andrew Bynum. 

Here’s how to read the parenthetical numbers.  The one in next to the team is the team’s Power Index on November 20th, the last Power Index calculation.  The two numbers next to the offensive and defensive numbers are (1) this week’s NBA ranking for the team; and (2) November 20th ranking in the same category.  This allows for minute comparisons, which I know you stat heads love.  I aim to please.

NBA Power Index
12-2-10
Overall
PVOA
Offense 

Defense
1. Dallas Mavericks (6)
+7.2
+3.4 (9) (9)
+3.8 (3) (8)
2. Boston Celtics (4)
+7.2
+4.1 (7) (7)
+3.1 (6) (5)
3. Miami Heat (1)
+7.2
+4.8 (5) (2)
+2.4 (8) (2)
4. Utah Jazz (9)
+6.8
+4.0 (8) (13)
+2.8 (7) (9)
5. Orlando Magic (7)
+6.6
+3.1 (11) (14)
+3.5 (5) (2)
6. San Ant Spurs (5)
+6.3
+5.0 (3) (7)
+1.3 (10) (7)
7. Los Ang Lakers (3)
+5.8
+7.1 (1) (1)
-1.3 (13) (15)
8. New Orl Hornets (2)
+4.7
+0.6 (16) (5)
+4.1 (2) (4)
9. Denver Nuggets (11)
+3.1
+4.9 (4) (9)
-1.8 (14) (18)
10. Chicago Bulls (8)
+2.6
-0.9 (22) (12)
+3.5 (6) (4)
11. Indiana Pacers (16)
+1.7
-0.9 (23) (19)
+2.7 (9) (11)
12. Atlanta Hawks (14)
+1.0
+4.5 (6) (4)
-3.5 (22) (26)
13. OKC Thunder (15)
+0.6
+3.3 (10) (6)
-2.7 (20) (25)
14. Memphis Grizzlies (19)
+0.4
+0.3 (18) (25)
+0.1 (11) (10)
15. Phoenix Suns (10)
+0.3
+6.6 (2) (3)
-6.3 (30) (23)
16. Toronto Raptors (19)
-0.2
+2.3 (13) (15)
-2.5 (18) (20)
17. Houston Rockets (21)
-1.0
+1.8 (14) (16)
-2.8 (21) (22)
18. Milwaukee Bucks (12)
-1.2
-5.3 (30) (29)
+4.1 (1) (1)
19. Port TrailBlazers (13)
-1.3
+0.9 (15) (11)
-2.2 (16) (15)
20. New Jersey Nets (20)
-2.2
-0.1 (20) (21)
-2.1 (15) (14)
21. New York Knicks (23)
-2.3
+2.7 (12) (16)
-4.9 (29) (28)
22. Phil Sixers (22)
-2.7
-1.8 (26) (26)
-0.9 (12) (12)
23. Charlotte Bobcats (25)
-3.1
+0.5 (17) (20)
-3.6 (23) (27)
24. Gold St Warriors (17)
-3.5
+0.2 (19) (18)
-3.7 (24) (13)
25. Cleveland Cavs (24)
-4.9
-2.7 (27) (23)
-2.2 (17) (20)
26. LA Clippers (30)
-5.4
-0.6 (21) (27)
-4.8 (28) (29)
27. Detroit Pistons (27)
-5.8
-1.6 (25) (24)
-4.2 (25) (24)
28. Washington Wizards (26)
-5.9
-1.5 (24) (28)
-4.4 (26) (17)
29. Minnesota Wolves (28)
-6.6
-4.0 (28) (29)
-2.6 (19) (19)
30. Sacramento Kings (29)
-8.9
-4.3 (29) (22)
-4.6 (27) (30)
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2 Responses to “Courtside Analyst NBA Power Index (12-2-10)”

  1. Seif-Eldeine Says:

    Interesting metrics to use when judging a team, it seems they would be much better at assessing teams than Hollinger’s ratings. I did an assessment of Hollinger ratings, SRS and playoff seeding, and SRS outperformed the seeds slightly going all the way back to 1950 and outperformed Hollinger greatly in the past 5 years (I am still working on calculating the ratings back to 1950.) These results are at my old url, http://www.basketballfantatic.blogspot.com. Could I use your metrics to test against these other metrics? And if I can, do you have past results from other seasons? About the Bucks, maybe the reason their offense is so good and defense so bad by your metrics is because of pace, as you would expect a faster pace team not only to put up more points but to give away more points as well. (I am not sure if they are among the league leaders in pace.) I see Michael Redd is underperforming this year. Is he still recovering from the injury, or is there something else going on?

    • tywill33 Says:

      Redd won’t be back — if at all — until February. Last season he came back too soon.

      Yes, of course you can use the metric. The problem is, there really is no reliable back information. Some of it was lost when MVN.com went under, the rest is not there because of my spotty commitment to doing the calculations.

      I think I read that SRS was also an effective method of predicting NFL playoff results as well. (There is a football version that is almost identical).

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