If you are looking for potential NBA underperformers in tonight’s NBA draft, I’d start with Doc Rivers kid, Austin.
First off, he is weak and weighs only 202 pounds, very light for a shooting guard.
Second, his standing reach, which I consider true basketball height, is only 8’0.5”. That’s short for a point guard, let alone a shooting guard.
Third, and most importantly, Rivers’ collegiate statistics forewarn possible NBA ineffectiveness. Rivers was a terribly inefficient player in his lone collegiate season. His Win Score, projected out over 48 minutes, would be 4.21, which is over 2.0 points below the NBA average. Sometimes players will outperform their NCAA stats when they reach the NBA, but not often.
Finally, shooting guard is a position filled with busts, mainly because a player’s effectiveness at this position is largely a measure of his shooting efficiency. Shooting efficiency is highly volatile.
I would stay away from Austin Rivers, but some dumb NBA GM will waste a high pick on him tonight.